Version 8/9.0 Update: The Gallia Control-Region Test, Sequential Bayesian Robustness, and the Long-Transgression Falsifiability Programme for Germania Magna

Last updated: Version 8/9.0 (June 19, 2026)


Scientific analysis based on the primary source: Mildner, S. (2026). Geodynamic Reinterpretation Model for Ptolemy's Germania Magna: General Model Description, Cartometric Foundations, (v9.0). EarthArXiv (Preprint). https://doi.org/10.31223/X5KB51 (📥 Download NEW-v9.0-PDF)


Disclaimer

This article is a technical companion piece summarising what is new in Version 8/9.0 of the model. It does not repeat the cartometric, geodynamic, or narrative arguments already presented in the articles listed below — those remain current and are not superseded. Version 9.0 adds three independent robustness checks (a control-region comparison, a sequential Bayesian re-analysis, and a formal statistical power assessment) plus a new monograph part that gives the Long-Transgression hypothesis an explicit falsifiability framework. The model has not been evaluated by peer review.


Why a Fourth Layer of Robustness Checks?

The earlier articles on this site established the cartometric model (the affine baseline and the kinematic corrections), validated it with a formal out-of-sample blind test, and subjected it to a full statistical battery — AIC/BIC, leave-one-out cross-validation, bootstrap, permutation testing, and Moran's I. A subsequent update (v8.2) added an identification-multiverse analysis testing whether the result depends on which modern places are matched to which Ptolemaic names.

Read more: Version 8/9.0 Update: The Gallia Control-Region Test, Sequential Bayesian Robustness, and the Long-Transgression Falsifiability Programme for Germania Magna
Germania Magna Reinterpretation by Sven Mildner Germania Magna Ptolemy Geography Geographike Hyphegesis Elster Cluster Gallia control region test +11

The Saale-Unstrut Fragment Impact Hypothesis and the Eastward Displacement of the Elster-Lusatia Block

Crustal Stress Fields, Translation-Glide Kinematics along the Zechstein Décollement, Biaxial Tension along the Bramsche–Český Kráter Axis, and the Herzberg Seismic Event of 2024

Last updated: to Version v6 (May 25, 2026)


Scientific analysis based on the primary source: Mildner, S. (2026). Geodynamic Reinterpretation Model for Ptolemy’s Germania Magna: General Model Description, Cartometric Foundations, (v6). EarthArXiv (Preprint). https://doi.org/10.31223/X5KB51
(📥 Download NEW-v9.0-PDF


Scientific supplementary analysis to:

> Mildner, S. (2026). Geodynamic Reinterpretation Model for Ptolemy's Germania Magna: General Model Description, Cartometric Foundations, Extended Evidence Analysis, and Impact Hypothesis (Version 6). EarthArXiv (Preprint). https://doi.org/10.31223/X5KB51

> Mildner, S. (2025/2026). A new interpretation of Ptolemy's Germania Magna: Employing computer-assisted image distortion of a medieval map by Donnus Nicolaus Germanus to examine post-glacial geodynamics in Europe. EarthArXiv (Preprint). https://doi.org/10.31223/X5313T

> Mildner, S. (2026). Mildner's Geodynamic Reinterpretation Model for Ptolemy's Historical Coordinates. ancientmaps-geography.com.

Read more: The Saale-Unstrut Fragment Impact Hypothesis and the Eastward Displacement of the Elster-Lusatia Block
Germania Magna Reinterpretation by Sven Mildner Supplementary Analysis Mildner's Geodynamic Rectification Model Germania Magna Rectification Model Ptolemy +8
AncientMaps-AI Chatbot (Beta-v9)
Hello! I'm the AI assistant for ancientmaps-geography.com. How can I help you today?

Note: You can also enter your questions directly in other languages, e.g. Deutsch, Francais, Español, Polski, čeština, ελληνικά, Русский, українська, etc., Please do not share personal information.
2000 characters left